Department of Psychology University of Illinois 603 E. Daniel St. Champaign, IL 61820 (217) 333-6758 (217) 244-5876 (fax) dbudescu@s.psych.uiuc.edu

Home | Education | Experience | Recognitions | Grants | Organizations | Activities | Publications

Edited Books

		Budescu, D.V., Erev, I., & Zwick, R. (Eds.) Games and Human Behavior: Essays in Honor of Amnon Rapoport. 1999 (Lawrence Earlbaum Associates).
		Suleiman, R., Budescu, D.V., Fischer, I. & Messick, D. (Eds.) Contemporary Psychological Research on Social Dilemmas. Under contract with Cambridge University Press, to be published in 2002.

Selected Publications

• Rapoport, A. & Budescu, D.V. Generation of random binary series in strictly competitive games. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 1992, 121, 352-364.
  
  
• Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V. & Zwick, R. Comparing the calibration and coherence of numerical and verbal probability judgments. Management Science, 1993, 39, 176-190.
  
  
• Rapoport, A., Budescu, D.V. & Suleiman, R. Sequential requests from randomly distributed shared resources. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 1993, 37, 241-265.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V. Dominance analysis: A new approach to the problem of relative importance of predictors in multiple regression. Psychological Bulletin, 1993, 114, 542-551.
  
  
• Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V. Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. Psychological Review, 1994, 101, 519-527.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Suleiman, R., & Rapoport, A. Positional order and group size effects in resource dilemmas with uncertain resources. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1995, 61, 225-238.
  
  
• Bar-Hillel, M. & Budescu, D.V. The elusive wishful thinking effect. Thinking and Reasoning, 1995, 1, 71-104.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Rapoport, A. & Suleiman, R. Common pools dilemmas under uncertainty: Qualitative tests of equilibrium solutions. Games and Economic Behavior, 1995, 10, 171-201.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. Processing linguistic probabilities: General principles and empirical evidence. In J.R. Busemeyer, R. Hastie & D. Medin (Eds.) The Psychology of Learning and Motivation: Decision Making from the Perspective of Cognitive Psychology. Academic Press, 1995, 275-318.
  
• Ben-Simon, A., Budescu, D.V. & Nevo, B. A comparative study of measures of partial knowledge in multiple choice tests. Applied Psychological Measurement, 1997, 21, 65-88.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Au, W., & Chen, X. Effects of protocol of play and social orientation on behavior in sequential resource dilemmas. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1997, 69, 179-194.
  
  
• Rapoport, A. & Budescu, D.V. Randomization in individual choice behavior. Psychological Review, 1997, 104, 603-617.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S. On the importance of random error in the study of probability judgment. Part I: New theoretical developments. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10, 157-171.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Wallsten, T.S. & Au, W. On the importance of random error in the study of probability judgment. Part II: Using the stochastic judgment model to detect systematic trends. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10, 173-188.
  
  
• Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., Erev, I. & Diederich, A. Evaluating and combining subjective probability estimates. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10, 243-268.
  
  
• Kuhn, K., Budescu, D.V., Hershey, J., Kramer, K., & Rantilla, A. Tradeoffs in risk attributes: The joint effects of dimension preference and vagueness. Risk, Decision and Policy, 1999, 4, 1-16.
  
  
• Zwick, R., Erev, I., & Budescu. D.V. The psychological and economical perspective on the study of human decisions in social and interactive contexts. In D.V. Budescu, I. Erev, & R. Zwick (Eds.) Games and Human Behavior, LEA, 1999, 3-20.
  
  
• Ariely, D., Au., W.T., Bender, R.H., Budescu, D.V., Dietz, C., Gu, H., Wallsten, T.S. & Zauberman, G. The effects of averaging subjective probability estimates between and within judges. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied.2000, 6,130-147.
  
  
• Johnson, T.R., Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S. . Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic values. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 2001, 14, 123-140.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V. & Rantilla, A. K. Confidence in aggregation of expert opinions. Acta Psychologica. Acta Psychologica.2000, 104, 371-398.
  
  
• Wallsten, T.S, Erev, I., & Budescu, D.V. The Importance of Theory: Response to Brenner (2000). Psychological Review, 2000, 107, 947-949.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Kuhn, K.M., & Kramer, K.M. Beyond Ellsberg's paradox: Modeling the effects of vagueness in risky decisions. Revue d'conomie Politique, 2001, 111, 7-28.
  
  
• Suleiman,R., Budescu, D.V. & Rapoport, A. Provision of step level public goods with uncertain provision threshold and continuous contribution. Group Decision and Negotiations, 2001, 10, 253-274.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V. & Fischer. I. The same but different: An empirical examination of the reducibility principle. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, 14, 187-206.
  
  
• Morera, O.F., & Budescu, D.V. Reduction of random error in analytic hierarchies: A comparison of holistic and decompositional decision strategies. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, 14, 223-242.
  
  
• Azen, R., Budescu, D.V., & Reiser, B. Criticality of predictors in multiple regression. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 2001, 54, 201-225.
  
  
• Budescu. D.V. & Au, W.T. A model of sequential effects in CPR dilemmas. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2002, 15, 37-63.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Kuhn, K.M., Kramer, K.M. & Johnson, T.  Modeling certainty equivalents for imprecise gambles. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2002, 88, 748-768. (Erratum in the same volume, page 1214).
  
  
• Bereby-Meyer, Y., Meyer, J. & Budescu, D.V. Decision making under internal uncertainty: The case of multiple-choice tests with different scoring rules.   Acta Psychologica, 2003, 112, 207-220.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Rantilla, A.K, Yu, H., & Karelitz. T.M. The effects of asymmetry among advisors on the aggregation of their opinions.  Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2003, 90, 178-194.
  
  
• Karelitz, T.M., Dhami, M.K., Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S. Toward a Universal Translator of Verbal Probabilities. In Proceedings of the 15th International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society (FLAIRS) Conference.  AAAI Press, 2002, 298-503.
  
  
• Budescu, D.V., Karelitz, T.M. & Wallsten, T.S. Predicting the directionality of probability phrases from their membership functions. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2003, in press. 
  
  
• Azen, R., & Budescu, D.V. Dominance analysis: A method for comparing predictors in multiple regression.  Psychological Methods, 2003, in press
  
  
• VanDijk, E., Wit, A., Wilke, H., & Budescu, D.V. What we know (and do not know) about the effects of uncertainty on behavior in social dilemmas. Suleiman, R., Budescu, D.V., Fischer, I. & Messick, D. (Eds.) Contemporary Psychological Research on Social Dilemmas. Cambridge University Press, in press.
  
  
• Budescu. D.V., & Karelitz, T.M. Inter-personal communication of precise and imprecise subjective probabilities. In Cooman, G., Cozman, F. G., Moral, S. & Walley, P. (Eds.) Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on Imprecise probabilities and their Applications (ISIPTA). In press.
  
  

---

Return to David V. Budescu Home